International Journal of Multidisciplinary Research and Development

International Journal of Multidisciplinary Research and Development


International Journal of Multidisciplinary Research and Development
International Journal of Multidisciplinary Research and Development
Vol. 6, Issue 9 (2019)

Analysis of Correlates of Crime Severity among Young in Wolaiata Zone, Southern Ethiopia


TizazuToma Shamana

The primary objective of this study was to identify and analyze the determinants that influence youth’s to criminal activities in three zones of SNNPR. Second objective of the study was to model crime rates based on, monthly crime rates and the impact of sentence reforms on reported crime in Wolaiata Sodo, Ethiopia, over the data collection period of April 2007 to January 2017 GC by incorporating intervention effects. Monthly data were obtained from Wolaiata Sodo Police Commission and for a total of 118 months were used. The primary data collection was taken from Nov, 2017 to Dec 2018. For primary data Logistic regression model was used to predict the probability of dependent variable on the basis of independent variables. The study will help in understanding crime prevalence across various cities in SNNP regional state and Ethiopia as the whole. Based on logistic regression analysis for primary data: Age, sex, educational background, marital status, residence, employment status, partners education, attitude towards revenge, income status, awareness of criminal law, previous crime history and number of dependent families were found to be statistically significant risk factors. The impact of sentenced legislation on reported crime rates was examined using time series approaches. In particular, structural time series models were employed for the intervention analysis. The model fitness was checked based on the model capturing the variations in the data accessed through
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